Mengukur Peluang Timnas Indonesia Lolos ke Piala Dunia 2026

Teguh Kurniawan

Editor: Teguh Kurniawan

Timnas Indonesia.
Timnas Indonesia. (Hendy Andika/Skor.id)

SKOR.id - Putaran ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 zona Asia sudah separuh jalan, mari berhitung peluang Timnas Indonesia untuk mencapai turnamen final di Amerika Serikat, Kanada, dan Meksiko.

Jika melihat tabel klasemen Grup C saat ini, kans Garuda untuk lolos langsung sebagai dua tim teratas mulai menipis. Sebab, sampai sekarang tim asuhan Shin Tae-yong belum mampu memetik satu kemenangan pun.

Mereka baru bisa tiga kali imbang dan kalah dalam dua laga lainnya. Koleksi tiga poin menempatkan Timnas Indonesia sebagai juru kunci.

Untungnya, para rival - selain Jepang - juga tidak terlalu impresif. Jadi, jarak Indonesia dengan peringkat kedua hanya tiga poin saja, alias peluangnya belum tertutup.

Matchday keenam, yakni menghadapi Arab Saudi di Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno (SUGBK), Jakarta, pada Selasa (19/11/2024) bakal menjadi momen krusial dalam menentukan nasib Jay Idzes dan kawan-kawan ke depannya.

Jika mampu merebut tiga poin, maka harapan akan terbuka kembali. Apalagi ditambah hasil tak maksimal dari tim-tim lain, misalnya Australia dan Bahrain imbang, sementara Cina kalah dari Jepang.

Pada titik itu, empat tim terbawah akan memiliki poin sama (6) dan Australia hanya unggul satu poin (7) di peringkat kedua. Pertarungan mulai Maret tahun depan pun bakal supersengit.

Momen penentu bagi Timnas Indonesia akan terjadi saat bertandang ke Australia, 20 Maret 2025. Apabila mampu membuat kejutan, barulah skuad Shin Tae-yong secara serius dipertimbangkan lolos langsung ke Piala Dunia 2026.

Balik lagi ke pertandingan melawan Arab Saudi, jika Indonesia seri atau kalah, maka harus diterima bahwa peringkat keempat menjadi target paling realistis.

Sebab, pada titik itu, Australia dan Arab Saudi sudah menjadi favorit untuk mendampingi Jepang. Timnas Indonesia tinggal bersaing dengan Cina dan Bahrain untuk posisi keempat.

Itulah mengapa dua laga kandang pada Maret dan Juni tahun depan wajib dimenangi agar Garuda bisa terbang melewati keduanya.

Skenario terbaik buat Timnas Indonesia dalam lima laga sisa Grup C putaran ketiga Kualifikasi Piala Dunia 2026 zona Asia adalah meraup 10 poin. 

Rinciannya, menang lawan Arab Saudi, Cina, dan Bahrain di kandang, curi hasil imbang di markas Australia, dan kalah di Jepang.

Tapi, itu sangat berat dicapai. Realistisnya, mungkin tujuh poin, yakni imbang kontra Arab Saudi, taklukkan Cina dan Bahrain, lalu kalah lawan saat menyambangi Australia dan Jepang.

Mari berdoa agar 10 poin cukup untuk menggaransi empat besar, supaya Timnas Indonesia bisa mencoba lagi pada putaran berikutnya. 

Source: Skor.id

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