Menghitung Peluang Timnas Indonesia ke Semifinal ASEAN Championship 2024

Teguh Kurniawan

Editor: Teguh Kurniawan

ASEAN Championship 2024 digelar mulai 8 Desember 2024 hingga 5 Januari 2025 (Jovi Arnanda/Skor.id).
ASEAN Championship 2024 merupakan ajang yang melelahkan bagi Timnas Indonesia yang menempuh perjalanan panjang dan jadwal padat selama turnamen. (Jovi Arnanda/Skor.id)

SKOR.id - Timnas Indonesia bakal melakoni laga hidup-mati untuk menentukan kelolosan mereka ke semifinal ASEAN Championship 2024.

Itu terjadi saat pasukan Shin Tae-yong menjamu Filipina di Stadion Manahan, Solo, Sabtu (21/12/2024) malam.

Timnas Indonesia harus bisa mengalahkan sang rival pada duel pamungkas Grup B demi menjaga asa melaju ke babak empat besar. 

Namun, itu pun ternyata belum bisa menjadi jaminan. Hasil laga lain, yakni antara Vietnam menghadapi Myanmar, pada saat yang sama, juga perlu diperhatikan.

Sebagai informasi, Timnas Indonesia kini berada di peringkat kedua Grup B ASEAN Championship 2024. Mereka memiliki perolehan identik dengan Myanmar, yang menguntit di posisi ketiga, cuma unggul head to head.

Kedua tim sama-sama mengoleksi empat poin hasil satu menang, satu imbang, dan satu kalah, serta mencetak empat gol dan kebobolan empat. Bedanya, saat kedua tim bertemu, Indonesia unggul tipis 1-0.

Persoalannya adalah ASEAN Championship tidak mengutamakan head to head sebagai tolok ukur kelolosan.

Berdasarkan aturan mereka, urutan penentu tiket ke semifinal adalah poin, selisih gol, dan produktivitas. Ketika semua metrik ini setara, barulah head to head dipergunakan.

Jadi, jika kasusnya seperti Timnas Indonesia dan Myanmar, skor laga pamungkas akan sangat vital.

Apabila pasukan Garuda mengalahkan Filipina dengan margin satu gol, maka Myanmar jangan sampai menang dengan skor lebih besar atas Vietnam.

Dan, ketika keduanya bermain imbang, maka pertandingan dengan gol terbanyak akan dipilih. 

Misal, Indonesia ditahan Filipina dengan skor 1-1, sementara Myanmar mampu mengimbangi Vietnam 2-2, pasukan Myo Hlaing Win lah yang akan finis di peringkat kedua Grup B.

Oleh karena itu, saat bertarung dengan Filipina nanti, Marselino Ferdinan dan kawan-kawan tak cuma wajib menang, tapi harus unggul meyakinkan.

Tentu saja kemungkinan terburuk tetap ada, yaitu jika Timnas Indonesia kalah dari Filipina. Seandainya terjadi seperti ini, The Azkals berpeluang menyodok sebagai runner-up, dengan syarat Myanmar gagal membuat kejutan di kandang Vietnam.

Realistisnya, Indonesia masih memiliki peluang terbesar finis di tangga kedua. Mereka main di kandang dan mendapat dukungan puluhan ribu suporter. Sebaliknya, Myanmar akan melakoni laga berat di kandang Vietnam.

Sekarang, tinggal bagaimana pasukan Shin Tae-yong memaksimalkan keuntungan yang ada.

RELATED STORIES

Keputusan Shin Tae-yong di ASEAN Championship 2024 Bikin Coach Justin Frustrasi

Keputusan Shin Tae-yong di ASEAN Championship 2024 Bikin Coach Justin Frustrasi

Pengamat sepak bola, Justinus Lhaksana mengomentari kiprah Timnas Indonesia di ASEAN Championship 2024.

Apakah Timnas Indonesia Pernah Gugur di Fase Grup Piala AFF?

Sepanjang gelaran Piala AFF yang kini bernama ASEAN Championship, apakah Timnas Indonesia pernah gugur di fase grup?

Skor co creators network
RIGHT_ARROW
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
PLAY_ICON
RIGHT_ARROW

THE LATEST

Kompetisi sepak bola kasta kedua di Indonesia atau identitas baru dari Liga 2 musim terbaru, Championship 2025-2026. (Deni Sulaeman/Skor.id)

Liga 2

Rekap Hasil Championship 2025-2026: PSMS Tumbang, FC Bekasi City Pesta Gol, Barito Putera Menang

Tiga pertandingan pembuka Championship 2025-2026 selesai dihelat pada Jumat (12/9/2025) malam.

Teguh Kurniawan | 12 Sep, 16:16

Launching Tim Persikad Depok

Liga 2

Resmi Luncurkan Tim, Ambisi Besar Persikad Depok di Championship 2025-2026

Persikad Depok resmi memperkenalkan tim untuk menghadapi Championship 2025-2026.

Nizar Galang | 12 Sep, 15:32

Cover Olahraga Padel.

Other Sports

Liga Padel Resmi Hadir sebagai Liga Amatir Terstruktur Pertama di Indonesia, Dimulai Oktober 2025

Liga Padel juga bakal dijadikan wadah pembinaan untuk memunculkan atlet-atlet potensial bagi Indonesia di masa depan.

Teguh Kurniawan | 12 Sep, 15:09

Madura United vs Bhayangkara Presisi Lampung FC di Super League 2025-2026. (Grafis: Deni Sulaeman/Skor.id)

Liga 1

Gol Dianulir dan Penalti Gagal, Madura United Ditahan Bhayangkara FC di Kandang

Madura United harus puas berbagi skor 0-0 dengan Bhayangkara FC pada duel pekan kelima Super League 2025-2026, Jumat (12/9/2025).

Teguh Kurniawan | 12 Sep, 14:23

Ester Nurumi Tri Wardoyo

Badminton

Ester Nurumi Cedera Tulang Kering, Bisa Absen hingga 6 Bulan

Paling lambat, Ester Nurumi Tri Wardoyo, baru siap bertanding lagi pada Februari 2026.

Teguh Kurniawan | 12 Sep, 12:57

Pertandingan El Clasico antara Real Madrid vs Barcelona. (Yusuf/Skor.id).

National

Prioritaskan Kualitas Jadwal Clash of Legends Real Madrid vs Barcelona Berubah

Jadwal pertandingan Real Madrid vs Barcelona di Jakarta semula 25 September 2025.

Sumargo Pangestu | 12 Sep, 11:40

Link live streaming pertandingan Super League 2025-2026. (Deni Sulaeman/Skor.id)

Liga 1

Persib dan Persik Kompak Raih Poin Penuh

Thom Haye dan Eliano Reijnders lakoni debut bersama Persib Bandung.

Gangga Basudewa | 12 Sep, 11:39

Xabi Alonso, kini menangani Real Madrid. (Yusuf/Skor.id).

La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid: Reuni Xabi Alonso di Anoeta

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid, laga reuni Xabi Alonso di Anoeta.

Pradipta Indra Kumara | 12 Sep, 10:20

Aqua Futsal Four Nations Cup 2025 digelar di Jakarta yang diikuti Timnas futsal Indonesia. (Kevin Bagus Prinusa/Skor.id)

Timnas Indonesia

Daftar Pemain Timnas Futsal Indonesia untuk Aqua Four Nations Cup 2025 Alami Perubahan

Ada tiga pemain baru yang dipanggil ke skuad Timnas Futsal Indonesia untuk Aqua Four Nations Cup 2025.

Gangga Basudewa | 12 Sep, 10:13

Peraih Super Tiket Audisi Umum PB Djarum 2025. (Grafis: Deni Sulaeman/Skor.id)

Badminton

Daftar Peraih Super Tiket Audisi Umum PB Djarum 2025

Sebanyak 50 pebulutangkis muda sukses meraih Super Tiket Audisi Umum PB Djarum 2025.

Gangga Basudewa | 12 Sep, 10:05

Load More Articles